The Most Interesting Thing About Lioness Is No Longer the Gunfights

There is a moment in the third season of Lioness that lasts only a few minutes and contains almost none of the things television normally uses to tell us something important is happening.

Nobody rappels from a helicopter. Nobody breaches a door. Nobody fires a weapon.

Oleksandra talks about animals.

The bear. The tiger. The wolf pack.

And I found myself leaning toward the television.

That may be the most interesting development in Lioness this season. Taylor Sheridan’s espionage drama still knows how to deliver violence with extraordinary force, but increasingly the action feels like the consequence rather than the subject. The real story is moving upstream. It is becoming a story about strategy.

That distinction matters.

Plenty of television shows can portray soldiers kicking through doors. Far fewer are willing to spend time asking why somebody wanted the door opened in the first place, who spent ten years arranging circumstances so that it eventually would be opened and what the person standing several thousand miles away expects to gain when it happens.

Season three of Lioness seems increasingly fascinated by that world.

In episode three, Joe and Oleksandra explain how America’s adversaries approach intelligence gathering differently, turning what could have been exposition into one of the more fascinating sequences of the season. The episode expands the battlefield beyond operatives and weapons into universities, government institutions, relationships and influence networks. It even reveals that a United States senator may have been compromised. Fox News

That is espionage as ecology.

And Oleksandra’s animal analogy works because it gives shape to something most of us vaguely understand but rarely consider carefully: great powers do not necessarily hunt the same way.

A bear behaves differently from a tiger. A tiger behaves differently from wolves.

The implication is larger than zoology and larger than Russia, China or any particular adversary. Nations develop strategic personalities. Those personalities emerge from geography, history, political institutions, military experience and cultural memory. Eventually they become habits.

One adversary may overwhelm.

Another may wait.

Another may surround.

The mistake is assuming everyone plays your game because you understand your own rules.

That is what Lioness is beginning to explore exceptionally well.

Espionage becomes much more interesting when we stop imagining it primarily as people exchanging envelopes beneath park benches. Intelligence work is really about understanding systems of incentives and vulnerabilities. Who wants something? Who fears something? Who feels overlooked? Who has access? Who can be cultivated today because he may become important fifteen years from now?

The best intelligence operation may therefore look remarkably boring while it is happening.

A graduate student gets invited somewhere.

A bureaucrat develops a friendship.

A politician accepts help.

A business relationship forms.

Nothing explodes.

Years later, someone possesses access nobody realized had been engineered.

That is the unsettling idea underneath this season of Lioness. The battlefield may have been prepared long before anybody recognized there was a battle.

Sheridan has always been good at physical violence. Sicario understood this particularly well. Violence arrives suddenly, brutally and without theatrical permission. But the more interesting inheritance from Sicario may be something quieter: the recognition that the person carrying the rifle is often several layers removed from the person actually determining the outcome.

Lioness is increasingly pulling those layers apart.

We watch Joe’s team operate tactically, but above them sit intelligence officers considering assets, penetrations and counterintelligence. Above them sit political officials considering diplomatic consequences. Somewhere beyond all of them sit adversaries making the same calculations from the opposite direction.

Every action therefore creates another action.

Capture someone.

Someone else becomes leverage.

Recruit an asset.

Someone starts looking for the recruiter.

Penetrate an institution.

Someone launches a counterintelligence operation.

The result is not chess, despite how often espionage gets described that way. Chess is too orderly. Everyone sees the board.

This feels closer to playing poker while several players are lying about which game they are playing.

And then Lioness does something wonderfully cruel.

After spending so much time teaching us to think strategically, it returns everything to one human being.

Joe.

I genuinely jumped when the final scene revealed that the prisoner was Joe rather than the Russian operative or Oleksandra. The sequence works because the season has spent so much time establishing Joe as the person who understands the machinery. She sees the board. She understands what adversaries want. She knows how interrogation works. She knows what capture means.

Then suddenly she is no longer explaining the system.

She is inside it.

That changes the emotional mathematics considerably.

Joe is not merely a captured CIA officer. She possesses years of operational knowledge, relationships, identities and institutional memory. The people holding her therefore do not have to kill her to win something. They can extract information. They can trade her. They can exploit her politically. They can use her existence to force decisions elsewhere.

Episode four makes that danger explicit. Her captors move her while American officials consider increasingly desperate options, including the possibility that she could ultimately be transferred to another hostile actor. People.com

And the men holding her do not look like amateurs.

That may be the part I find most disturbing.

There is a particular kind of television villain who announces his cruelty. These men do not need to. They look procedural. Experienced. Patient.

They give the impression that pain is simply another instrument in an established process.

The top 0.01 percent of information extraction.

Which raises the question hanging over the entire season.

How long can Joe survive being Joe?

For three seasons, she has moved toward danger because somebody had to. Every successful mission reinforced the same operating principle: accept enough personal risk and perhaps everyone else gets home.

But risk compounds.

There is only so long a character can keep borrowing against the future before the account comes due.

That is why I increasingly have a terrible feeling about Joe McNamara.

Not because Lioness has suddenly become nihilistic. Quite the opposite. Joe’s possible death would matter because Sheridan has spent so much time showing us what she carries. She is a wife, mother, officer, leader, operator and repository of things she cannot discuss with almost anyone she loves.

Her profession requires her to understand everyone else’s vulnerabilities while pretending she does not possess any herself.

Of course she does.

Her family.

Her team.

Her country.

Her sense of responsibility.

Perhaps that is where the season’s strategic obsession eventually leads.

The bear has a strategy.

The tiger has a strategy.

The wolves have a strategy.

But eventually every geopolitical strategy reaches a human body.

Someone has to execute the operation.

Someone has to absorb the consequence.

Someone ends up alone in a room with people who want information.

Right now, that person is Joe.

And for the first time in Lioness, I am beginning to wonder whether the show’s most formidable operator is going to make it home.


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